WA-Gov: SUSA Shows Gregoire with Slight Lead

Survey USA shows Gov. Christine Gregoire leading in her rematch against Republican Dino Rossi (likely voters, 4/7 in parens):

Christine Gregoire:50% (48%)
Dino Rossi:46% (47%)
(MoE=±4%)

From SUSA:

Rossi leads by 11 points among men; Gregoire leads by 20 among women — a 31 point gender gap. Voters under age 50 narrowly break for Rossi; Gregoire leads by 9 among voters 50+. 16% of Democrats cross over to vote for Rossi; 7% of Republicans vote for Gregoire. Independents split 5:4 for the incumbent. Gregoire wins by 13 points in metro Seattle; Rossi leads by 2 points in the rest of Western Washington and by 12 points in the eastern part of the state.

7 thoughts on “WA-Gov: SUSA Shows Gregoire with Slight Lead”

  1. to know how “metro Seattle” is defined.  Defined loosely, it constitutes considerably more than half the state’s population.

  2. The key for Gregoire is that she must win independents by at least 10%.  I also wonder about the Democratic defectors.

    My early prediction:  a narrow Gregoire win of about 2%.(but no recounts this time).

  3. basically what we expected these past four years. It was insanely close four years ago, and there are plenty of people bitter over how the election was won. Imagine Bush v Gore in 2004. Man, that would have be insane. lol

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